Zero-truncated panel Poisson mixture models: Estimating the impact on tourism benefits in Fukushima Prefecture

Masaki Narukawa, Katsuhito Nohara

Research output: Contribution to journalArticle

1 Citation (Scopus)


This study proposes an estimation approach to panel count data, truncated at zero, in order to apply a contingent behavior travel cost method to revealed and stated preference data collected via a web-based survey. We develop zero-truncated panel Poisson mixture models by focusing on respondents who visited a site. In addition, we introduce an inverse Gaussian distribution to unobserved individual heterogeneity as an alternative to a popular gamma distribution, making it possible to capture effectively the long tail typically observed in trip data. We apply the proposed method to estimate the impact on tourism benefits in Fukushima Prefecture as a result of the Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant No. 1 accident.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)238-246
Number of pages9
JournalJournal of Environmental Management
Publication statusPublished - Apr 1 2018



  • Contingent behavior
  • Count data model
  • Inverse Gaussian distribution
  • Random-effects model
  • Travel cost method
  • Zero truncation

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Environmental Engineering
  • Waste Management and Disposal
  • Management, Monitoring, Policy and Law

Cite this