Modeling and analysis of bird flu outbreak within a poultry farm

Tertia Delia Nova, Herman Mawengkang, Masaji Watanabe

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Outbreak of avian influenza within a poultry farm is studied mathematically. A system of two nonlinear ordinary differential equations is introduced as a model. Unknown variables of these differential equations are populations of susceptible birds and infected birds. Analysis of the model shows that the most effective measure against outbreak of avian influenza within a poultry farm is a constant removal of infected birds, and that removal of infected birds can solely prevent an outbreak. The analysis also shows that vaccination is effective in conjunction with removal of infected birds, and that vaccination can not prevent an outbreak without the removal of infected birds.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationBIOINFORMATICS 2010 - Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Bioinformatics
Pages96-101
Number of pages6
Publication statusPublished - Sep 14 2010
Event1st International Conference on Bioinformatics, BIOINFORMATICS 2010 - Valencia, Spain
Duration: Jan 20 2010Jan 23 2010

Publication series

NameBIOINFORMATICS 2010 - Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Bioinformatics

Other

Other1st International Conference on Bioinformatics, BIOINFORMATICS 2010
CountrySpain
CityValencia
Period1/20/101/23/10

Keywords

  • Avian influenza
  • Mathematical model
  • Nonlinear dynamics

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Biomedical Engineering
  • Health Informatics
  • Health Information Management

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  • Cite this

    Nova, T. D., Mawengkang, H., & Watanabe, M. (2010). Modeling and analysis of bird flu outbreak within a poultry farm. In BIOINFORMATICS 2010 - Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Bioinformatics (pp. 96-101). (BIOINFORMATICS 2010 - Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on Bioinformatics).